{"id":215034,"date":"2026-04-13T22:46:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T02:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/potenciaradiofonicadominicana.com\/portal\/?p=215034"},"modified":"2026-04-13T22:46:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T02:46:08","slug":"ajuste-economico-sera-mayor-a-la-prevision-inicial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/potenciaradiofonicadominicana.com\/portal\/ajuste-economico-sera-mayor-a-la-prevision-inicial\/","title":{"rendered":"Ajuste econ\u00f3mico ser\u00e1 mayor a la previsi\u00f3n inicial"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Muchos \u2014incluido el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI)\u2014 nos quedamos cortos al prever la duraci\u00f3n de la guerra en Medio Oriente y, m\u00e1s a\u00fan, la profundidad de sus secuelas.<\/p>\n

El FMI identific\u00f3 el riesgo energ\u00e9tico, pero asumi\u00f3 que ser\u00eda contenido, casi pasajero.<\/p>\n

Hoy, sin embargo, el paisaje ha cambiado. La escalada del conflicto, la reducci\u00f3n de los flujos de petr\u00f3leo y gas a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz y el impacto sobre fertilizantes y otras materias primas han transformado la naturaleza del fen\u00f3meno. Ya no se trata de una perturbaci\u00f3n transitoria, sino de un choque que amenaza con volverse estructural, con efectos de segunda ronda: inflaci\u00f3n persistente, menor crecimiento y nuevas presiones al alza sobre las tasas de inter\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Particularmente, Georgieva ha hecho un llamado a los bancos centrales a estar listos para subir tasas si la inflaci\u00f3n se desancla.<\/p>\n

Este giro no obedece a un capricho del FMI, sino a una realidad que se impone con la fuerza de los hechos: lo que parec\u00eda una ola aislada empieza a perfilarse como una marea sostenida.<\/p>\n

Y la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana debe reaccionar en consecuencia. M\u00e1s a\u00fan cuando, seg\u00fan un informe reciente de Citigroup (Citi), figura entre los pa\u00edses de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe m\u00e1s vulnerables a este choque, junto a econom\u00edas como Argentina y El Salvador. Esta vulnerabilidad implica que el pa\u00eds importar\u00e1 m\u00e1s inflaci\u00f3n que otros, sin poder esquivarla del todo. La raz\u00f3n es clara: su elevada dependencia energ\u00e9tica. La econom\u00eda dominicana importa casi la totalidad de los combustibles que consume, de modo que un barril de petr\u00f3leo por encima de los 100 d\u00f3lares encarece de forma significativa la electricidad, el transporte y, en cadena, los costos de producci\u00f3n. A ello se suma una estructura econ\u00f3mica abierta y dependiente de importaciones de alimentos, insumos industriales y fertilizantes, donde cualquier interrupci\u00f3n log\u00edstica se traduce, casi de inmediato, en precios internos m\u00e1s altos.<\/p>\n

Ante esta nueva realidad, resulta oportuno que el gobierno haya iniciado conversaciones con distintos sectores para identificar medidas que permitan enfrentar el choque externo. Pero tan importante como actuar es hacerlo con tino:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Muchos \u2014incluido el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI)\u2014 nos quedamos cortos al prever la duraci\u00f3n de la guerra en Medio Oriente …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":215036,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-215034","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nAjuste econ\u00f3mico ser\u00e1 mayor a la previsi\u00f3n inicial - PotenciaRadiofonicaDominicana.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/potenciaradiofonicadominicana.com\/portal\/ajuste-economico-sera-mayor-a-la-prevision-inicial\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta 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